Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.796589 7.503611 8.288054 9.229796 10.338918 11.615391 13.212962
2025-02-09 5.858991 6.838571 8.022772 9.589352 11.654755 14.358284 18.300132
2025-02-16 5.201385 6.283309 7.664238 9.613065 12.395357 16.409053 23.044552
2025-02-23 4.829583 5.998131 7.557629 9.883036 13.446891 19.080857 29.663405
2025-03-02 4.356286 5.507678 7.089623 9.537266 13.477912 20.136766 33.952159
2025-03-09 4.008826 5.146590 6.749737 9.312686 13.628292 21.394915 39.198182
2025-03-16 3.752423 4.885367 6.519322 9.213201 13.950034 23.029732 46.171577
2025-03-23 3.630443 4.803021 6.540294 9.510511 15.015056 26.442300 60.087620
2025-03-30 3.389271 4.524155 6.231160 9.210749 14.904840 27.311121 67.429860
2025-04-06 3.169855 4.262287 5.925977 8.880477 14.675175 27.841775 74.231965
2025-04-13 2.972000 4.020625 5.634276 8.541951 14.373028 28.118247 80.517144
2025-04-20 2.843724 3.877836 5.491042 8.454695 14.578921 29.767640 94.742663
2025-04-27 2.829184 3.922061 5.676211 9.033918 16.441584 37.079046 155.900122
2025-05-04 2.766630 3.887999 5.731302 9.385906 17.930161 44.502209 258.951482
2025-05-11 2.657931 3.770494 5.629848 9.409033 18.625435 49.818554 394.275804
2025-05-18 2.594009 3.721363 5.643366 9.670522 20.027045 59.255582 794.997225
2025-05-25 2.453809 3.535571 5.394216 9.335604 19.690619 60.820607 1083.277029
2025-06-01 2.340961 3.389835 5.208139 9.117975 19.651445 63.966002 1729.715087
2025-06-08 2.252798 3.281259 5.082980 9.021544 19.958350 69.396688 3800.816544
2025-06-15 2.218222 3.262460 5.124267 9.309681 21.559607 84.771563 114626.259326
2025-06-22 2.118567 3.125009 4.928981 9.019167 21.188011 86.763475 NaN
2025-06-29 2.022095 2.989070 4.729039 8.698922 20.653834 87.223637 NaN
2025-07-06 1.930620 2.858382 4.532624 8.370493 20.033678 86.628032 NaN